Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.232570 12.571520 14.096859 15.983729 18.284609 21.039328 2.465069e+01
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.268941 10.824919 12.722904 15.263845 18.668256 23.220382 3.005553e+01
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.273880 9.952429 12.101625 15.152682 19.553169 26.005569 3.696340e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.541965 9.273759 11.574008 14.993012 20.230058 28.544189 4.437492e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.023863 8.798194 11.229936 14.993104 21.081657 31.509142 5.383726e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.654878 8.476646 11.045905 15.174977 22.219347 35.249345 6.698158e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.188509 7.970902 10.533460 14.759887 22.245106 36.896248 7.638954e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.887853 7.674705 10.297622 14.748585 22.970522 40.163686 9.280469e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.521196 7.253112 9.830387 14.287891 22.762011 41.329738 1.039329e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.141890 6.788527 9.260474 13.588806 21.974240 40.934180 1.093751e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.829890 6.407493 8.796118 13.029443 21.386075 40.891541 1.165685e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.924505 6.646279 9.334281 14.313233 24.857992 52.750197 2.017127e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.849221 6.629134 9.472859 14.923169 27.137437 63.125100 3.324174e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.564414 6.264735 9.001026 14.302597 26.403753 63.387820 3.793445e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.392157 6.070120 8.804634 14.204584 26.940631 68.577989 5.373915e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.227398 5.877891 8.597601 14.060104 27.332174 73.570805 7.845933e+02
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.098239 5.736188 8.468326 14.060211 28.112148 80.891628 1.373514e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.002891 5.644416 8.420311 14.225066 29.395535 91.875348 3.611038e+03
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.838562 5.429761 8.136330 13.848675 29.036337 94.271904 6.624670e+03
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.735358 5.312800 8.023499 13.838419 29.780535 103.799757 6.568326e+04
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.585033 5.109852 7.740564 13.420036 29.181852 104.742672 8.306223e+06
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.414560 4.867027 7.373060 12.783882 27.802881 99.837660 1.150314e+07
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.268872 4.662112 7.068607 12.273739 26.771076 96.935689 NaN